Alexander Zverev vs. Gael Monfils

Call it the Zverev revenge tour. Yesterday he beat Andy Murray for the first time in three tries. Tonight he’ll try to beat Monfils for the first time in four tries. The Frenchman has never dropped a set to the German, but that stat comes with a big asterisk: They haven’t played since 2016, when a 19-year-old Zverev was still finding his way on tour.

While Monfils will still be the crowd favorite for this late match, Zverev will be the clear favorite. He’s playing the most confident tennis of his career right now, having lost just once since Wimbledon—to Novak Djokovic, in five sets, at the US Open. Zverev says he doesn’t like the slow conditions in the desert, and they’ll be especially slow at night. But he should have a clear advantage in holding serve: He has one of the best in the game, and while Monfils has many upsides, his return has never been one of them. Winner: Zverev

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